The National Forces Alliance (NFA), a bloc of pro-NATO parties which has promised to “reward” nations involved in the 2011 war that imposed regime change on Libya, claims to be leading, saying they had dominated in Misrata and held leads in both Tripoli and Benghazi.

The other faction said to be doing well is the Justice and Construction Party (JCP), a Muslim Brotherhood tied organization modeled after Egypt’s Freedom and Justice Party. Their leader is former political prisoner Mohamed Sowan from Misrata. The JCP’s leadership has expressed doubts about a centralized government, and seems to have strong support among expats who returned after the 2011 war. Abdulhakim Belhaj’s party, al-Watan, seems a distant third.

Final results won’t be released for several more days, but preliminary estimates are that the JCP will secure less than 25% of the overall seats, a big drop considering they were initially predicting over 60%.