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IPFS News Link • Housing

Airbnb Houses Are About to Flood the Market

• https://rubino.substack.com, John Rubino

The current housing bubble features three new players, all of whom are about to switch from "buy/hold" to "panic sell." They are:

Boomers forced by declining health and/or shrinking stock portfolios to sell their McMansions.

Wall Street private equity "landlords" who gorged on houses and apartment buildings (sometimes buying up entire neighborhoods at above-market rates) forced by the coming recession to shed massive amounts of inventory.

And — the subject of this post — Airbnb landlords who discover that their rosy cash flow projections were fantasies. Many will have to liquidate their portfolios to avoid bankruptcy.

From today's Zero Hedge:

Airbnb Shares Plunge On Slowing US Demand As Consumer Downturn Worsens

Shares of Airbnb plummeted in premarket trading in New York after the company reported disappointing second-quarter earnings, falling short of Wall Street's expectations, and issued a warning about slowing demand from US vacationers. This development comes amid rising recession risks in the US, with the consumer downturn worsening for the working poor and middle class due to elevated inflation and high interest rates. 

Airbnb warned that it is "seeing shorter booking lead times globally and some signs of slowing demand from US guests." 

In a consumer downturn, vacation spending is some of the first discretionary spending households cut to preserve cash. The problem is, as we've already cited numerous Goldman notes, explaining low/mid-income consumers are under severe financial stress. Airbnb's earnings and dismal outlook are ominous signs that the consumer slowdown will likely worsen through the end of the year. 


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