Piper analyst Alexander Potter said that if Tesla's Model 3 market share in the United States can be replicated in China (and for the Model Y) then Tesla's annual volume in China alone would eventually exceed 650k units.

In December, 2019, Nextbigfuture noted and agreed with a statement that China car sales for BMW and Mercedes are double their US Car sales. Doubling US sales volume for premium cars would enable Tesla to sell 700,000 to 1 million model 3s each year and around 2 million model Ys.

Tesla grabbing pickup Truck and large SUV market share with Cybertruck and Cybertruck SUV and van variants would enable sales of another 3+ million.

Tesla will be able ramp more factories China, Asia, United States and Europe.

Tesla should still be able to grow 50-80% per year with more factories and expanded factories and new vehicles.