In the autumn issue of the U.S. Army War College's "Parameters," a quarterly published refereed forum that furthers the professional development of senior military officers on national security affairs, a call to action on a possible war with Russia that will kill about 50,000 Americans was presented. It pointed out that the massive loss of service members will also trigger conscription to fill the ranks.
The war college is a U.S. Army educational institution in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, on the 500-acre campus of the historic Carlisle Barracks, which provides graduate-level instruction to tenured military officers and civilians to prepare them for leadership assignments and responsibilities.
According to the 13-page write-up, the U.S. Army faced a strategic inflection point after a failed counterinsurgency effort in Vietnam 50 years ago. In response to lessons learned from the Yom Kippur War, the Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) was created to reorient thinking and doctrine around the conventional Soviet threat.
It also emphasized that the ongoing and dragging Russia-Ukraine War is just exposing significant vulnerabilities in the Army's strategic personnel depth and ability to withstand and replace casualties and because of this, the Army theater medical planners may anticipate a sustained rate of roughly 3,600 casualties per day, ranging from those killed in action to those wounded in action or suffering disease or other non-battle injuries. And with a 25 percent predicted replacement rate, the personnel system will require 800 new personnel each day. In large-scale combat operations, the United States could experience that same number of casualties in two weeks, the article noted and cited that in 20 years of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. sustained about 50,000 casualties.