IPFS
CONNECTING THE DOTS
Frosty Wooldridge
More About: EnvironmentPopulation expert Jason Brent weighs-in on Lester Brown
In this continuing series, you will hear from various experts
around the planet on the overpopulation predicament facing America, Canada,
Mexico and most other overpopulated countries around the world.
You ask, “What do you mean America and Canada are overpopulated?”
Simple answer: they cannot be sustained on their own resources,
water and energy. Therefore, in 2011,
they fit the definition of being overpopulated.
Jason Brent weighs in on the conversation:
“My position is very simple--- the exploding population of
humanity will lead to the destruction of our species,” said Brent. “Recycling, environmentalism, new
technologies and anything else humankind can think of will not prevent our
destruction until and unless population growth is reduced to zero and more
likely until and unless the absolute numbers of our species is substantially
reduced below the current 6.7 – 6.9 billion of us.
“As you may be aware some experts, whatever the word
"experts" means, set forth cogent and well supported arguments
that our planet cannot support at any reasonable standard of living more than
one or two billion of us. James Lovelock of Gaia fame believes the number is one
billion or less and David Pimental of Cornell University believes the number is
two billion or less. While these experts may be wrong, humanity ignores them at
humanity's risk. Humanity cannot afford to throw their ideas under the
rug.
“While I have not read everything written by Brown, I have read many
of his works starting with his work at the www.WorldwatchInstitute.org . All
of his ideas and plans are very interesting and worthwhile, but they are
useless unless our exploding population is brought under control. Population
grows in a compound/exponential/geometric manner and compound growth is the
most powerful force in the universe, it overwhelms everything. If population
were to grow at the compound rate of one percent per year, population would
double every 70 years and in 700 years population would be over 1000 times as
great as when it started. Using a short a period of time, if population
were to grow at the compound rate of one percent per year in just 210
years population would be eight times as great as when it started.
“In his last book Brown, to the best of my recollection,
wrote that population has to be stabilized at 8 billion or less by the
year 2040. He did not state how this could or would be accomplished. However,
he did mention generalities including the ones set forth in Ms Salzman's e-mail
to me. To the best of my recollection the 8 billion number he used was the
low projection most recently made by the UN. The UN periodically makes various
projections about the human population. The three most important ones are the
low, the high, and the medium and of these three the most important one is
the medium projection. Some of what I'm going to set forth in this e-mail
is contained in an e-mail dated December 23, 2010 which I sent to Lester Brown
–copy attached.
“According to the UN's official documents its medium projection
was based on--
" Total fertility in all countries is assumed (emphasis
added) to converge eventually toward a level of 1.85 children per woman".
“ According to Webster's New World College Dictionary, Fourth
Addition, the word "assumed" is defined as "pretended, put on,
fictitious, taken for granted" and according to Webster's Universal
Encyclopedic Dictionary the word "assumption" is defined as
"assuming that something is true, a statement of fact taken for
granted" .
“ According to the same UN documents its low projection is
based upon--
"Under the low variant, fertility is projected to
remain 0.5 children below the fertility in the medium variant over most of the
projection period. By 2045 – 2050, fertility in the low variant is therefore
half a child lower than the medium variant. That is countries reaching a
total fertility of 1.85 children per woman in the medium variant have a total
fertility of 1.35 children per woman in the low variant at the end of the
projection period".
“In simple terms, the UN's projections are based on assumptions
and not based on a detailed analysis of the facts. Nothing I could find put out
by the UN lists all of the factors for and against their "assumption"
that the total fertility rate will be reduced from the current 2.55 – 2.60 to
1.85 children per woman. In my opinion, the reason for the assumption made by
the UN is that if the UN were to assume that the total fertility rate
exceeded the replacement level of 2.06 – 2.10 children per woman, humanity
would be forced to face the fact that major changes must be made in every
aspect of civilization as continuous population growth cannot and will not
occur on the finite Earth.
“To bet the survival of humanity on an assumption made by the UN
is the height of arrogance. For Lester Brown to use the low variant or low
projection made by the UN in his writings is just plain wrong. In his writings
Lester Brown does not indicate what would happen to humanity if population were
not stabilized at 8 billion by the year 2040 or 2050. Lester Brown in his
writings does not in any manner provide evidence which supports the assumption
that population will stabilize at 8 billion by the year 2040 or 2050.
“There are two and only two points in time that population can
be stabilized – before humanity has exceeded the carrying capacity of the Earth
(no matter how carrying capacity is defined) or after humanity has
exceeded the carrying capacity of the Earth.. If population is stabilized
after humanity has exceeded the carrying capacity of the Earth, it will be
stabilized by war, with or without weapons of mass destruction,
disease, privation, ethnic cleansing, rape, murder and other horrors
beyond the imagination. No one wants population to be stabilized in that manner.
“Therefore, if humanity is going to survive population growth must
be stabilized before humanity reaches the carrying capacity of the Earth. There
are two and only two ways by which population growth can be reduced to zero
prior to reaching the carrying capacity of the Earth--- by the voluntary action
of all of humanity for as long as humanity exists on the planet or by coercive
population control in a manner similar to what has occurred in China.
“The following statement is as close to absolute truth as any
statement has ever been made by any human being. If population had to be
reduced from the current 6.7 – 6.9 billion or from the estimated 9.2 billion
which will exist by the year 2050 to 1 or 2 billion in order for humanity
to survive on this planet for any reasonable period of time, that reduction
could not and will not be made by the voluntary action of humanity. The only
way for that reduction to be made would be by coercive population control in a
manner similar to what has happened in China.
“They cannot be any dispute whatsoever that a reduction in
population would place tremendous strains on every aspect of society and cause
major problems for perhaps hundreds of years. However, humanity will have to
suffer those strains and solve those problems if our survival depends upon
a reduction in the number of human beings which can exist on the planet. A
separate essay is required to set forth the facts as to why humanity would not
reduce its population to 1 or 2 billion by voluntary means. If you believe
that humanity would voluntarily reduce its population to 1 or 2 billion,
I ask that you send me an e-mail with the facts supporting your position.
“While I could set forth many reasons why humanity will not even
reduce population growth to zero in time to prevent the horrific deaths of
billions, you could dispute those reasons. In reality, question becomes--- can
humanity afford to gamble its survival on the possibility that humanity will
voluntarily reduce its population growth to zero in time to prevent the
deaths of billions of human beings? Unless humanity can be assured that
voluntary action will reduce population growth to zero in time to prevent the
horrible deaths of billions of human beings, humanity must consider coercive
population control on a worldwide basis similar to what has occurred in
China. This paragraph refers to reducing population growth to zero and does not
even consider reducing the absolute number of people as set forth in the
previous paragraph.
“Now getting back to Lester Brown and why I believe his writings
are misleading and useless. None of his writings, of which I am aware, go into
a detailed analysis of how and when human population growth will be reduced to
zero or how the absolute numbers of human beings can be reduced below the
current 6.7 – 6.9 billion of us who inhabit this planet. As indicated above,
his latest book merely states that population should be/will be stabilized at 8
billion or below before 2040 or 2050. His latest book did not consider how
the UN arrived at its medium and low projections--- he merely used the UN's
numbers. As indicated at the beginning of this e-mail population is the key to
the survival of humanity and his Plan B is useless unless population growth is
controlled.
“As indicated above, since I don't have his latest book in front
of me I don't remember what was set forth in Chapter 11 and I don't remember
what he wrote about education lack of woman's rights and economic power
insofar as relates to population. However, to the best of my recollection he
did not present any evidence that improving the education of women, improving
their rights, and/or improving their economic power will ensure that population
growth will be reduced to zero in time to prevent the destruction of
civilization as we know it.
“Is very nice talk or write about the education of women, their
lack of rights and improving their economic power, but there isn't any evidence
that we can raise the status of women fast enough and throughout the entire
world in time prevent the destruction of civilization. In my opinion, we cannot
afford to gamble the deaths of billions of human beings on the hope, and
it is only hope, that raising the status of women will solve humanity's
population problem. And, more importantly, there isn't any evidence whatsoever
that raising the status of women, no matter how defined, will permit or cause a
voluntary reduction in the absolute number of humans on the planet, if that is
necessary, in time to prevent the horrific deaths of billions.
“Can you make an intelligent and factual argument that
humanity can raise the status of women fast enough and over all of humanity in
time to reduce population growth to zero prior to a highly destructive
catastrophe? Can you make an intelligent and factual argument that raising the
status of women will cause a reduction in the absolute number of humans on the
planet, if that is necessary, prior to the horrific deaths of billions of our
species?
“I will admit that the words are used in calling Brown a fool are
perhaps too harsh. However, all of his writings don't discuss the most
important problem facing humanity and are therefore misleading and
harmful. I plan to respond to the details contained in Ms. Salzman's e-mail
when I get back to my home in Las Vegas, about the end of January or early
February. One last comment---the mention of coercive population control will
probably cause both of you to think I am a madman or a facist or racist,
or---you fill in any word you want. I assure you that I am none of those
things. Rather, I am a human being deeply concerned about the future and I am
prepared to defend my position that humanity must, at least, call a conference
of the best minds on the planet to consider all the options, including coercive
population control.”
Brent raises the bar to the current ‘mild’ level of the population
equation and discussion. More thinkers
and writers need to follow his lead before the human race ‘hits’ that magic number
of 9.2 billion within 40 years.
##
In a five minute astoundingly simple yet brilliant video, “Immigration, Poverty, and Gum Balls”,
Roy Beck, director of www.numbersusa.ORG,
graphically illustrates the impact of overpopulation. Take five minutes
to see for yourself:
“Immigration by the numbers—off the chart” by Roy Beck
This 10 minute demonstration shows Americans the results of
unending mass immigration on the quality of life and sustainability for future
generations: in a word “Mind boggling!” www.NumbersUSA.org
If any of us, no matter what our race, creed or color might
be, refuse to engage our U.S. Congress as we have not for 30 years as to the
population/immigration equation-our children will find themselves living in a
terribly degraded America where the American Dream will be described by the
history books as a 'fleeting fantasy' from the era of 1950 to 2010.
These are several of the top organizations where you can
take collective action to change the course of American history as well as in
Canada, the United Kingdom and Australia. Take collective action at:
This is the best website to start: www.numbersusa.org ; watch Roy Beck’s “Immigration
by the Numbers” at 14 minutes. Bi-partisan and very effective. Become a faxer
of pre-written letters to your reps to make positive change.
Also: www.fairus.org ; www.capsweb.org ; www.thesocialcontract.com ; www.populationmedia.org ; www.worldpopulationbalance.org
; www.populationconnection.org
; www.quinacrine.com ; www.familyplanning.org/ , www.skil.org ; www.growthbusters.com; www.populationpress.org ; www.thinkpopulation.org ; www.carryingcapacity.org ; www.balance.org ; www.controlgrowth.org ; in Canada www.immigrationwatchcanada.org
; in Australia www.population.org.au
andPublicPopForum@yahoogroups.com;
in Great Britain www.optimumpopulation.org
; and dozens of other sites accessed at www.frostywooldridge.com. In Florida, www.flimen.org
.
Must see DVD: "Blind Spot" www.snagfilms.com/films/title/blind_spot/
, This movie illustrates America's future without oil, water and other
resources to keep this civilization functioning. It's a brilliant educational
movie! www.blindspotdoc.com
Must see: Rapid Population Decline, seven minute video by
Dr. Jack Alpert-
Must see and funny: www.growthbusters.org
; www.youtube.com/watch?v=FXSTrW_dARc
Dave Gardner's Polar Bear in Bedroom:
Dave Gardner's Polar Bear in Bedroom:
growthbusters.org/2010/03/save-the-polar-bear-in-your-bedroom
; Dave Gardner, President, Citizen-Powered Media ; Producing the Documentary, GROWTH
BUSTERS; presents Hooked on Growth: Our Misguided Quest for
Prosperity, Join the cause at www.growthbusters.org ;760 Wycliffe
Drive, Colorado Springs, CO 80906 USA; +1 719-576-5565
Check out this link with Wooldridge on bicycle and Lester
Brown and panel discussion:
Tomorrow's Americaproject on www.youtube.com/contemporarylearning.
Producer: GEORGE A. COLBURNwww.tomorrowsamerica.com
DC: 202-258-4887
Email: gac@starbrightmc.com
Link to www.tomorrowsamerica.com
for more discussions on America's predicament.
FOR MORE INFORMATION:
##
Frosty Wooldridge has bicycled across six continents - from
the Arctic to the South Pole - as well as six times across the USA, coast to
coast and border to border. In 2005, he bicycled from the Arctic Circle, Norway
to Athens, Greece. He presents "The Coming Population Crisis in America:
and what you can do about it" to civic clubs, church groups, high schools
and colleges. He works to bring about sensible world population balance at www.frostywooldridge.com
He is the author of: America on the Brink: The Next Added 100 Million Americans.
Copies available: 1 888 280 7715