“The following estimate of illegal alien crime is based on the aforementioned assumptions,” said Wagner.   “Thus we start with the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports (UCR), Crime in the United States (CIUS) 2005, for the Estimated Number of Arrests and then apply the 5% representation of the illegal alien population component as well as the 27% incarceration rate in federal prisons to the number of crimes reported by the FBI from actual arrests.  What we then get an estimation of how much crime was committed by arrested illegal aliens in 2005 as follows:

 

 

“Note how close the number of crimes committed in 2005 using the 27% incarceration rate participation is to the estimated number of crimes committed by currently incarcerated illegal aliens is.  Is this coincidental or actually an accurate representation of disproportionate participation?  Once arrested one would think the government would want to know if the perpetrator was a citizen or a foreign national but, unbelievably, that is not tracked so, again, nobody knows. 

 

“However, this is not all the crime – only crime where somebody was actually arrested.  To find all the crime you need to go the Department of Justice’s report Criminal Victimization in the United States, 2005 Statistical Tables which reports nearly every possible aspect of the crime being committed in the USA, with two notable exceptions. 

 

“Using the Justice Department’s data and applying the illegal alien 5% population component as well as the 27% incarceration rate in federal prisons, we can now get an estimation of how much crime was actually committed in 2005 by illegal aliens as follows:

 

 

“Similar collateral damage would have been inflicted in 2006 and you can expect a about as much in 2007.  Whether you use the 5%, the 27%. or an average of the two, this is a tremendous amount of crime from an identifiable demographic segment of the population.

 

“You probably wouldn’t think so if you were one of the 1,172,036 victims, let alone one of the 6,328,994 victims.

 

“Keep in mind, this is an approximation of the collateral damage being inflicted PER YEAR.  If the number of illegal aliens is greater than 15 million the number of crimes goes up on a straight percentage of the population participation basis.  If there is disproportional participation, as noted by the 27% rate for incarcerated illegal aliens, the number of crimes goes up.  Regardless, even at just a 5% participation rate, that is a lot of crime that never should have happened in the first place.

 

“In trying to figure out who is actually committing the crimes, what the foreign national participation is, and whether illegal aliens are committing 5% of the crime based on their representation in the population or if they really are committing 27% of the crime, an astounding 5.4 times more participation than representation, we need to look at the sources for reporting the crime.  However, in doing this we soon run into problems.

 

“As noted in The Tarpit blog, Hispanics/Latinos, by far the largest component of illegal aliens, become “White, Caucasian, or Other” perpetrators in Arizona.  The same thing in Colorado, Florida, New Jersey, New Mexico, and probably other states as well.  As previously alluded to, even the Justice Department doesn’t seem to want to know as neither the nationality of the perpetrator nor a Hispanic/Latino category is even present in either their Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) or Victims and Offenders Supplement.

 

“The Justice Department collects quite a lot of data on crime, including the Hispanic ethnicity of victims, but they do not report on any contributions to crime by Hispanic perpetrators.  While not all illegal aliens are Hispanic, all illegal aliens are foreign nationals.  After spending a few hours wading through various reports from the Justice Department I still could not find mention of either category.  Given the massive amount of crime being committed I found it strange that it was not being tracked, especially crimes committed on American soil by foreign nationals, legal or illegal.”