This is yet more geopolitical risk premium for European energy markets ahead of the Northern Hemisphere heating season. 

Ukrainska Pravda cited an interview with Mykhailo Podoliak, an advisor to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and the Ukrainian media outlet Novyny. Podoliak said, "In addition to gas, the Druzhba pipeline will also cease operations starting 1 January 2025." 

Podoliak pointed out that countries like Slovakia, Czechia, and Hungary have received Russian oil through the Druzhba pipeline for years.

The European Union has forced member countries to diversify their energy supplies and end the transit of Russian crude and NatGas through Ukraine.

Podoliak also mentioned that this applies to NatGas, with specific contracted volumes set to expire on January 1, 2025. However, he noted that Ukraine can facilitate the transit of fuels if European countries require Kazakh or Azerbaijani NatGas.

Responding to a Reuters question on Podoliak's comments, Czech energy security czar Vaclav Bartuska said, "This is not the first time. This time maybe they mean it seriously—we shall see," adding, "For the Czech Republic, it is not a problem." 

FACE founder and geopolitical strategist Velina Tchakarova wrote on X that this development indicates "more geopolitical risk premium for Europe was added ahead of the third winter on both fronts—oil and gas. The EU still remains the largest buyer of Russian fossil fuels since the beginning of the Russian war against Ukraine, followed by China and India." 

This move by Ukraine appears to be a much broader effort by the West in the attempt to weaken the Russian economy by ensuring hydrocarbon flows, the primary source of Moscow's war funding, are halted by any means necessary. Ukraine has been chipping away at Russia's energy complex, bombing refineries and storage facilities with kamikaze drones this year. 

In markets, Dutch TTF NatGas futures, the benchmark for Europe's gas trading, have been moving higher since mid-February, now trading near 40 euros per megawatt-hour.