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IPFS News Link • Japan
Japan Enters Its Death Spiral
• John Rubino's SubstackJapan has been a big topic in this newsletter because it illustrates the no-win situation in which wildly overindebted countries eventually find themselves. Here are two articles that illustrate the point:
How a Country Goes Bankrupt, In 10 Steps
Now For The Death Spiral
Confronted with both a plunging yen and rising interest rates, Japan was recently forced to address one of those potential crises. It chose to protect the yen by raising short-term interest rates and using the dollars in its foreign exchange reserve to buy yen. This arrested the yen's decline:
But remember, Japan is in a box where fixing one crisis exacerbates one or more others. In this case, a resurgent yen makes Japanese exports more expensive, threatening to tip the economy into recession. Japanese stocks, in response, are now plunging