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Beryl to target Texas next with flooding rain, strong winds and storm surge

• https://www.accuweather.com, By Alex Sosnowski

Even though Beryl weakened over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula on Friday, it is forecast to regain strength over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend before striking Texas early week. AccuWeather meteorologists continue to warn of the potential for widespread flooding rainfall and the likelihood of damaging winds, storm surge flooding and perhaps tornadoes as the system moves inland over Texas.

When will Beryl make landfall in Texas?

Beryl is forecast to reach the South Texas coast as a hurricane Monday around midday. At this time, the eye is forecast to move inland. However, wobbles with the center and the possibility that the storm may try to turn to the north upon nearing the coast at the last minute could push landfall significantly farther to the north in Texas.

Storm preparations should be completed by Sunday afternoon along the southern and central Texas coast as winds, rain and seas will build hours before the hurricane's arrival.

While high winds and rain will not just be focused on the eye, landfall is key for determining the point where heavy rain will wrap inland.

"There will likely be some dry air that is pulled southward along the Texas and northeast Mexico coast as Beryl approaches so that the heaviest rain while the storm is offshore will exist over the Gulf of Mexico," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Joe Lundberg said, "But that will change after the center makes landfall."

In most cases, after a hurricane or tropical storm moves inland over the United States, a marked transition takes place, during which the heaviest rain tends to spiral inland or shift to the north and west of the center, Lundberg explained.

Portions of South Texas need non-flooding rainfall due to abnormally dry to drought conditions currently.

Another factor AccuWeather meteorologists have been warning about since earlier in the week is the potential of the storm slowing and possibly stalling over Texas. As Beryl pushed across the Caribbean, its forward speed averaged a brisk 20 mph. However, upon nearing Mexico, the forward speed dropped to 15 mph. Beryl will slow down even more on its approach to Texas.