Article Image

IPFS News Link • Weather News - Links - History

What Does Strong El Niño Mean For Winter Activity Across US?

• https://www.zerohedge.com, by Tyler Durden

Courtesy of The Weather Channel, here are the main highlights of CPC's report:  

Forecasters from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center still favor a strong El Niño late this fall into winter, or a 75-85% chance from November through January. That means the seasonal average of sea-surface temperatures in a certain region of the equatorial Pacific Ocean would be at or above the threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than average.

NOAA says there is an 80% chance El Niño will last through spring (March-May).

There is 3-in-10 chance this event could warm even further and become historically strong, or a so-called super El Niño, which means sea-surface temperatures would cross the 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than average threshold. There have been three super El Niño winters since 1950 in 2015-16, 1997-98 and 1982-83.

Current El Niño strength versus 'super El Niños' that have formed over the decades - many of these super El Niños have resulted in major snowstorms across the Lower 48. 

Local media outlet KUNC in Greeley, Colorado, spoke with Stephen Yeager, a project scientist with the center's Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, who highlighted the shifting weather patterns in the US because of El Niño and what it means this winter: 

"The United States tends to get wetter and colder in the south, from California all the way across to Florida, whereas the northern part of the country from the state of Washington and across tends to be drier and warmer than normal," Yeager said. "States in the middle, like Colorado, don't have very strong connections to El Niño that are consistent."

The new El Niño event could either diminish or boost winter snowfall significantly, depending on how the weather pattern develops.


www.BlackMarketFridays.com