Hubris Comes Before the Fall
History (whether on battle fields or sports fields) is riddled with tragi-comical examples of human blundering (and hubris) in the face of otherwise obvious and self-inflicted risk—you know: The final swagger just before imminent defeat.
Remember "Mission accomplished"?
Like well-dressed officers steaming the Titanic at full speed ahead despite repeated ice warnings, the arrogant yet misguided faith our central planners/bankers have in their "unsinkable" financial (i.e., Keynesian) models and verbal platitudes is astonishing.
If the financial model, for example, says "raise rates to fight inflation," then the model must be right—especially given the credentials of our elite "model followers," all collectively swimming within an echo-chamber of model-making, yes-saying, self-selecting and PhD-affirming back-slappers from MIT to Stanford, U-Chicago to Harvard Yard.