EU 0 - Putin 1 

The following from Euointelligence on December 17, emphasis mine.

Olaf Scholz [German Chancellor], like Angela Merkel before him, is a master of the art of saying nothing and of giving people the impression that he said something. Last night he did say something that should make us listen up. He repeated Angela Merkel's assertion that Nord Stream 2 is a private-sector project that should not be interfered with by the state. So he keeps prevaricating, even now that Russia is making preparations for an invasion of Ukraine. 

We should not be blinded by Annalena Baerbock's [Minister for Foreign Affairs of Germany] expulsion of Russian diplomats, in response to a murder in Berlin, organised by the Russian state. The coalition's priority will be to secure Germany's energy security. Yesterday, we staked out a scenario in which a Russian invasion of Ukraine could actually lead to an accelerated approval process for Nord Stream 2. And we don't think that the Greens want to be held responsible for gas shortages during a cold winter. Right now, they can blame Angela Merkel's inconsistent energy policies for anything that goes wrong during this winter. And Nord Stream 2 is now in the hands of the German and European regulators and courts, which is just as well.

Right now, EU leaders are discussing a hypothetical: what to do in case Russia invades. If Russia does invade, the discussions would take on a different quality. We don't see the European Council with a forceful and united response. There will be sanctions of the round-up-the-usual-suspect type.