I started raising chickens for meat in 2014. I've always bought the same feed from the same farmer. Prices have always been about the same. Even when prices on meat were slowly rising in the grocery stores due to Covid issues in the processing plants, my feed supplier's prices didn't change much. I process the animals myself so I haven't had to deal with the labor issues. Chickens from me in 2021 would have cost the same as they had in 2019.
However, yesterday I found out my chicken feed prices will be up almost 20% in 2022. My pig feed will be up 60%. It's going to be a hell of a jump. The droughts out West have clobbered grain growers. Gas prices are up. Labor costs are up. Some of the minerals have had to be imported and all those prices are up. The gradual increase in prices most of us have been watching are going to take steep upward turn within the next couple months. A lot of people have been saying this is going to happen; you can't print trillions of dollars, pay people not to work, and expect nothing to happen.
Grocery stores are coming up with some interesting tricks to hide the inflation. I'm pretty sure we've all seen "shrinkflation" at this point.
The grocery store I go to rearranged the display stands in the produce section recently. It's not the kind of thing you'd notice unless you'd been regularly going to the store for a long time. But they removed a few of the stands and then realigned them so that most customers wouldn't notice there were a few less, which tells me that not only are they short on produce, but they don't anticipate restocking fully for the foreseeable future.