On March 17, 2020, Dr. John Ioannidis writes:
"The current coronavirus disease, Covid-19, has been called a once-in-a-century pandemic. But it may also be a once-in-a-century evidence fiasco."(1)
The Data Has Accumulated and Dr. John Ioannidis was RIGHT !!
Infection Fatality Rate of ZERO for under 45 yrs of age !!
In a recent interview June 27, 2020, Dr Ioannidis spells out the accumulated data which is now available. Sadly, he was right all along. Regarding the infection fatality rate, remarkably, Dr John Ioannidis says for people younger than age 45, the infection fatality rate is ZERO !!! And, for people age 45 to 70, the infection fatality rate is probably about 0.05-0.3%, historically similar to other seasonal respiratory viruses. However, fatality rate for frail nursing home patients may be as high as 25%.
What is the IFR (infection fatality rate) ? Dr. Ioannidis replies:
"0.05% to 1% is a reasonable range for what the data tell us now for the infection fatality rate, with a median of about 0.25%. The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age-structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed. For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially, to 1% or higher for those over 85. For frail, debilitated elderly people with multiple health problems who are infected in nursing homes, it can go up to 25% during major outbreaks in these facilities."