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IPFS News Link • Central Banks/Banking

The ECB's Monetary Trap

• https://www.zerohedge.com, by Daniel Lacalle

What was designed as a tool for governments to buy time in order to carry out structural reforms and reduce imbalances, has become a dangerous incentive to perpetuate the excessive spending and increase debt under two very harmful and wrong excuses: That there is no problem as long as debt is cheap and that there's no inflation.

Cheap borrowing is not an excuse to increase debt. Japan has a very low cost of debt and the cost of servicing Japan's public debt is almost half of the state's tax revenues. Japan's debt is 15 times higher than the tax revenue collected by the government in 2018.

The Eurozone official inflation since 2000 shows an increase of 40% in CPI while productivity growth has been negligible and salaries and employment remain depressed.

We must remember that the euro is not a global reserve currency. The euro is only used in 31% of global transactions, while the US dollar is used in 88%, according to the Bank Of International Settlements (the total sum of transactions, as the BIS explains in its report, is 200% because each transaction involves two currencies).

Bond yields in the Eurozone are artificially depressed and give a false sense of security that is completely clouded by extremely low interest rates and excess liquidity.


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