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IPFS News Link • Economy - Economics USA

Bloomberg Stumbles On The "Only One Buyer Keeping The Bull Market Alive"

• http://www.zerohedge.com

("We wonder if this sentiment has been revised now that Bloomberg actually has the "big picture", and realizes that the only thing pushing the market higher is bond issuance (courtesy of central banks) whose proceeds are used to immediately buy all the stock that investors are dumping.")

Last week, when Bloomberg was celebrating the 7 year anniversary of the third longest, most central bank-supported, and thus "most hated" bull market in history, it said that  "investors are awash in angst, showing little faith the run can continue. They worry about contracting corporate earnings, slowing Chinese growth and uncertainty over interest rates. And they're walking the talk by pulling cash from stocks at almost the fastest rate on record. It's not unwarranted - the S&P 500 has gained just 0.5 percent in the last 18 months."

While confused by this unprecedented equity outflow, it then promptly spun the "bullish angle"and noted that just because the rally is the "most hated in history", it probably will continue:

[W]hen people withdraw money, stocks inversely tend to rise later, according to data since 1984. In the 12 instances when funds experienced monthly outflows that were at least 2 standard deviations from the historic mean, the S&P 500 rose an average 7.1 percent six months later, compared with a normal return of 3.9 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg and Investment Company Institute show.

[Once] things start to turn around, bears will be forced to buy. From Feb. 11 through Monday, a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. index

of the most-shorted companies outperformed the S&P 500 by almost 16 percentage points, the most in data going back to 2008.

What Bloomberg failed to touch upon was who was buying. Ever helpful, we explained what Bloomberg was missing:

What Bloomberg is confused by is that despite this unprecedented rally, after a brief period of inflows in 2013 and 2014, investors have been pulling money out of stocks at a record pace, leading not only Bloomberg but many others to dub the move in the market as the "most-hated rally ever."


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