Will the Trump Regime Attack Iran?
by Stephen Lendman (stephenlendman.org - Home - Stephen Lendman)
In response to questions asked me by Iranian media on this issue, I said with hardline extremists Pompeo and Bolton in charge of Trump's geopolitical agenda, along with Washington's permanent war agenda, anything is possible.
At the same time, I believe US war on Iran and/or Venezuela is unlikely. War plans are drawn and ready to be implemented against both countries if ordered.
Attacking them would be hugely destabilizing, bloody protracted war sure to follow. Both nations can hit back hard if attacked.
In Venezuela's case, millions of its citizens are mobilized to defend the nation if attacked by a foreign power. Along with the country's military, they're prepared to wage protracted guerrilla war to preserve and protect the Bolivarian Republic.
In Iran's case, its military can strike Israeli cities, military facilities, and nuclear sites if attacked by the US or the Jewish state. It can also inflict considerable damage to regional Pentagon forces and facilities.
US war on either or both countries would be madness, the world community strongly against it, a major deterrent to the Trump regime going this far.
Knowing it's next if Iran is attacked, Hezbollah could get involved, its thousands of missiles able to hit Israeli targets throughout the country, some US regional targets as well.
With around half a million active duty military personnel, hundreds of thousands of reserves, long-range missiles able to strike Israeli and US regional targets, other heavy weapons, and Russian S-300s defending its airspace over strategic areas, Iran is no pushover.
If the US attacks Iran and/or Venezuela, it'll get a strong taste of its own medicine in response, why Pentagon commanders oppose war on these countries.
If Iranian oil exports are blocked or the country is attacked, it can close off the Strait of Hormuz, obstructing or halting around 20% of world oil shipments, greatly harming the global economy.
If Russia intervenes to aid Iran or Venezuela if attacked by US forces, global war could follow, what neither Moscow or Washington wants.
Former UK MP George Galloway said attacking the Islamic Republic "will open the gates of Hell" — why cool heads in Washington and Israel oppose going this far.
Trump reportedly told Pentagon commanders he's against war on Iran. Asked about whether it's coming, he said "I hope not."
Fact: Iran is the region's leading proponent of peace and stability.
Fact: Its ruling authorities threaten no other nations.
Fact: Its regional activities are entirely legal. Attacks and threats attributed to the country are bald-faced Big Lies, not a shred of evidence supporting them.
Fact: Attacking Iran or Venezuela preemptively would flagrantly violate the UN Charter and other international law — even though the rule of law never stands in the way of Washington's agenda.
According to the neocon/CIA-connected Washington Post, "Trump is frustrated with some of his top advisers, who he thinks could rush the United States into a military confrontation with Iran…according to several (unnamed) US officials."
He prefers waging war on Iran and Venezuela by other means, believing they'll yield to his demands, showing little knowledge of their firmness.
If attacked, both countries will strongly defend themselves. Their governments want peace and stability, not war.
They want no foreign interference in their internal affairs, their fundamental right under international law.
During a Wednesday Situation Room meeting, Trump reportedly told key regime officials he doesn't want war with Iran, likely not with Venezuela either.
While US war on Iran and/or Venezuela can't be ruled out, if it comes, the US could find itself a coalition of one against either country.
Washington's NATO partners oppose war on Iran, knowing the nation poses no threat. Its Latin American allies want no part of war on Venezuela because fallout will harm their countries, especially by likely causing a regional refugee crisis.
A wild card is what Trump may do if the US economy weakens ahead of the 2020 presidential election, forcing companies to lay off large numbers of workers.
Fearing his reelection chances would be harmed, it's possible he might launch a war to distract attention from domestic economic troubles.
It wouldn't be the first time the US went this way. Like most incumbent US presidents in their first term, Trump is hellbent to be reelected.
If polls show he's vulnerable to defeat and he believes waging war on an invented enemy can help him politically, he might order preemptive war on Iran and/or Venezuela.
If things turn out this way, a US false flag will likely launch hostilities. It's a longstanding US tradition since the mid-19th century, 9/11 the mother of them all.
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My newest book as editor and contributor is titled "Flashpoint in Ukraine: How the US Drive for Hegemony Risks WW III."