Will War on Iran Follow US Saber Rattling and Heated Rhetoric?
by Stephen Lendman (stephenlendman.org - Home - Stephen Lendman)
Neocon extremists Pompeo and Bolton crave endless wars of aggression.
In 2015, Bolton lied accusing Iran of making "steady progress toward (developing) nuclear weapons," adding:
"The inescapable conclusion is that Iran will not negotiate away its nuclear program. Nor will sanctions block its building a broad and deep weapons infrastructure."
The "inescapable" truth is that Iran abhors nuclear weapons, wanting them eliminated everywhere.
Israel is the only armed and dangerous nuclear power in the Middle East, vowing to use these weapons if its security is greatly jeopardized.
Last May, Pompeo turned truth on its head, saying Trump withdrew from the JCPOA because "it failed to guarantee the safety of the American people from the risk created by the leaders of the Islamic Republic of Iran" — a bald-faced Big Lie, well known to the world community.
He lied claiming the nuclear deal "put the world at risk because of its fatal flaws." Years of negotiation preceded what the US, Russia, China, Britain, France, Germany and Iran agreed to.
It was unanimously affirmed by Security Council members, making the JCPOA binding international and US constitutional law.
Pompeo sounded like Netanyahu, saying the deal "free(d) (Iran) for a quick sprint to the bomb…after the countdown clock (runs) out… setting off a potentially catastrophic arms race in the region."
Reality is polar opposite his Big Lie. More followed, falsely claiming Iran "lied for years about having had a nuclear weapons program."
Not according to the US intelligence community, each year saying no evidence suggests Iran seeks nuclear weapons, adding: There's no assurance of its future intentions, but nothing suggests its authorities want the bomb.
Time and again, its leadership affirmed its abhorrence of nuclear weapons. Nothing refutes their sincerity.
Pompeo lied saying Iran uses its resources for "fueling proxy wars across the Middle East" — a US/NATO/Israeli specialty together with their rogue partners, not how the Islamic Republic operates.
Like he's done many times before, Pompeo falsely blamed Iran for US aggression in Iraq, Syria and Yemen.
He blamed Tehran for the enormous refugee crisis caused by US wars of aggression. He and Netanyahu lied claiming the Islamic Republic seeks Israel's destruction, getting things backwards.
The US and Israel seek regime change in Iran, wanting the country transformed into a Western client state, its oil and gas resources looted, its people exploited.
The US and its imperial partners want governments of all sovereign independent states toppled.
Will Trump regime hardliners Pompeo and Bolton convince him to go along with attacking Iran and Venezuela militarily? Is war on either or both countries likely?
Trump's lawyer Rudy Giuliani favors war on Iran, earlier saying "I don't know when we're going to overthrow them. It could be in a few days, months, a couple of years, but it's going to happen" — not for the past 40 years, nor is it likely ahead in my judgment, though clearly anything is possible.
Middle East Institute's Alex Vatanka said neither Iran or Trump want war. On Thursday, DJT urged Tehran to call him.
Reportedly, the White House contacted Swiss authorities to pass on a contact number to Iranian authorities. The Swiss embassy in Tehran represents US interests.
Despite the White House request, Trump doesn't rule out military action, nor against Venezuela, Cuba or Nicaragua.
On Friday, Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) deputy head of political affairs General Yadollah Javani said Iran won't engage in talks with the US, knowing its officials are duplicitous, never to be trusted.
On Thursday, Tehran's UN envoy Takht Ravanchi slammed Trump regime accusations about increased Iranian threats, saying they're based on "fake intelligence."
Trump regime actions against Iran heightened regional tensions. The same goes for its war by other means on Venezuela — military forces of both countries to be reckoned with if attacked by a foreign power.
The Islamic Republic is much stronger militarily than Iraq, Libya or Syria. Its missiles with destructive warheads can hit Israeli and US regional targets.
Trump is mostly focused on winning reelection next year. A trade deal benefitting the US economically would help his chances.
Protracted war on Iran and/or Venezuela might leave him more vulnerable to be defeated, especially if US ground forces are involved and lots of body bags return home, a way to lose votes, not gain them.
According to the Washington-based Arab Center's Imad Harb, US war on Iran "would be catastrophic," adding the Islamic Republic won't "go down without harming others" — notably US regional forces, Israel, the Saudis, UAE and their oil facilities.
Iran faced possible US and/or Israeli war since its 1979 revolution. Its military planning focuses on defending the nation if attacked and hitting back hard, making aggressors pay dearly for their actions.
How would Hezbollah respond if Israel attacked Iran? Its thousands of missiles and rockets can strike anywhere in Israel, including its cities, nuclear and military facilities.
Attacking Iran would be the mother of all Middle East wars, far more devastating than pre-and-post-9/11 regional conflicts.
Vast destruction and countless casualties would be likely, the same true if the Trump regime attacks Venezuela.
It's why I believe DJT won't go this far, likely to continue propaganda, economic, financial and sanctions wars on both countries.
Paramilitary proxies may also be used against either or both nations.
As long as Trump remains in office surrounded by hardline extremists running his geopolitical agenda, his regime won't likely quit trying to topple the governments of both countries.
Perhaps it's a giant leap of faith, but I believe his regime change agenda against Iran and Venezuela is more likely to fail than succeed.
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